The risk of deal breakage is central to merger and acquisition (M&A) dealmaking. Yet neither the finance nor corporate law literatures have systematically explored how and why deals fall apart. This Article rectifies this deficiency, making three principal contributions. First, it develops a comprehensive typology of eight M&A outcomes: completed-as-announced deals and seven types of deal breakage. Second, it unveils a novel dataset of 5,058 mergers and acquisitions involving U.S. public company targets signed between 1996 and 2020. Finally, it demonstrates how the Article's typology and data yield important implications for M&A practice and doctrine by casting new light on key debates over deal protection devices, the power of controlling shareholders, and “merger arbitrage” investors.
Corporate Law
Recently, the idea of self-negating prophecies has gained traction as a public choice problem. It might now be situated in behavioral economics as much as in sociology and psychology. In capital markets, small investors might be dissuaded from taking optimal precautions simply because it is difficult to evaluate risks. An investment manager is nonetheless rewarded for producing high rates of return and is often abandoned when underperforming other professional investors. Things are different for a recognized oracle with significant influence on the market. This Essay explores the phenomenon of self-negating prophecies in the business world and evaluates the likelihood that predictions by this oracle can be self-negating rather than self-fulfilling.
Because, unlike natural persons, a corporation does not have a single, unitary mind, the question of how to ascertain mens rea in a prosecution of a corporate entity presents an epistemological conundrum. The recent revival of the field of management cybernetics presents a new lens through which to examine those questions. This Essay draws on several of the central insights of management cybernetics to argue that a collective knowledge instruction is appropriate in cases where certain regulatory systems within the corporation have been attenuated to the point where they cannot operate with the complexity required by law.
This Case Note starts by summarizing current federal law and existing litigation surrounding state legislation in the context of foreign campaign contributions. It then turns to the parallels between state and federal proposals and concludes with the potential avenues policymakers may use to avoid future constitutional challenges.
District courts should consider the value of percolation in a given case as part of their analysis in deciding whether to grant a § 1404(a) motion. The value of doing so is even more pronounced in cases with a clear pattern of repeat-player defendants moving for transfer for no apparent reason other than convenience—and perhaps a more amenable court. In such cases, district courts should directly weigh the benefits of percolation against those of judicial economy.
For years, academic experts have championed the widespread adoption of the “Fama-French” factors in legal settings. Factor models are commonly used to perform valuations, performance evaluation and event studies across a wide variety of contexts, many of which rely on data provided by Professor Kenneth French. Yet these data are beset by a problem that the experts themselves did not understand: In a companion article, we document widespread retroactive changes to French’s factor data. These changes are the result of discretionary changes to the construction of the factors and materially affect a broad range of estimates. In this Article, we show how these retroactive changes can have enormous impacts in precisely the settings in which experts have pressed for their use. We provide examples of valuations, performance analysis, and event studies in which the retroactive changes have a large—and even dispositive—effect on an expert’s conclusions.
We offer a way of thinking about public-investment institutions as creatures of both public law and private markets. Placing public investment—a distinct public function—in the context of constitutional debates on the legitimate reach of the administrative state, we focus the search for legitimate institutional structure on the interaction between the entity’s efficacy as a market actor and the concept of public accountability. This tension, as well as synergy, is where the fundamental hybridity of public-investment institutions is most visible. We argue that only by considering the unique objectives and tools of public investment as a legitimate sovereign activity can we design workable mechanisms of democratic accountability for public-investment institutions. We hope that our observations shed light on the broader debate about the optimal implementation mechanisms for the nation’s reemerging industrial policy.
Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to alter the interpretation of the duties of care, skill, and diligence. As these duties form the foundation for the BJR and equivalent provisions, the development of AI is also expected to impact the BJR. There is a broadening importance, in an increasingly data-driven business environment, of the requirement to gather sufficient information before making a decision and to use information in a valid manner. Changes are both quantitative (how much information to collect) and qualitative (which types of information to collect). The changes also relate to the methods of decision-making, including the role of measures and statistics over intuition.
This Essay explores the two holy grails of AI and the law: predicting court decisions and predicting contracts. While there is some overlap between the two, because in order to draft contracts one needs to know the law, both issues can be functionally distinguished. These two areas, and their importance in the context of increasing AI development, are explored more deeply within the context of corporate insolvency law.
AI applications will put an end to negotiation processes as we know them. The typical back-and-forth communication and haggling in a state of information insecurity could soon be a thing of the past. AI applications will increase the information level of the parties and drastically reduce transaction costs. A quick and predictable agreement in the middle of a visible bargaining range could become the new normal. But, sophisticated negotiators will shift this bargaining range to their advantage. They will automate negotiation moves and execute value-claiming strategies with precision, exploiting remaining information asymmetries to their advantage. Negotiations will no longer be open-ended communication processes. They will become machine-driven chess endgames. Large businesses will have the upper hand in these endgames.